Re: Horoscopes
NormalAsylum, on host 168.174.253.220
Friday, October 25, 2002, at 13:51:38
Re: Horoscopes posted by Kaz! on Sunday, October 20, 2002, at 16:19:51:
> Also, I find it important to note the psychological effect that strongly believing something has in the mind. If the mind believes something is going to happen, then the person has a confimation bias: a desire to see events and evidence in a way that would confirm their previous beliefs. Also, they may attempt to do things that would provide evidence for their beliefs. Going back to the "One of your friends will make you very happy this week" example, anything that any friend does that makes you even a little bit happy could be used as supportive evidence. Also, if for some reason that doesn't happen, you may go out of your way to *make* something happen by inviting one of them over or somesuch. With a confimation bias, it really isn't that difficult to find evidence for a vague claim.
A good experiment is to save up your horoscopes for a week (or month or whatever) without reading them. At the end, go back and read them and see if any of it was correct. This makes it so you can't attempt to make them correct.
Another experiment is to gather several horoscope sources and check them against eachother. If they're all using the same principals or methods to predict, they should all be similar.
As for my personal beliefs, it's all a load of poop, for reasons already stated by others. "Fortune" cookies, the occult, and religion go along with that.
NormalAsylum
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