Ok, how about this. Two Towers, The Hours, Chicago, and Gangs are all in. The fifth slot is between About Schmidt and The Pianist. Far From Heaven and Adaptation seem to be out. Sorry Trip, I'm going to call Greek Wedding out, too, although I suspect that if there's a surprise in the nominee list, that'll be the one.

I was interested in the SAG nominations. I had nine of the ten Best Actor/Actress nominees down as guesses for the Oscar nominees. The one wrong? Richard Gere instead of Michael Caine. Gere is gaining steam in synch with Chicago's gathering momentum, so I might switch my guess before the nominations are announced. But Oscar ballots are due tomorrow, so changing hype after that won't make a difference.